If we think from a material perspective, the collapse of the Assad regime will not change much. Syria has already been the source of massive waves of migrants, and it is unlikely that many more will follow.
The porous migration route across the Mediterranean for sub-Saharan migrants has long been managed in Libya by Haftar (with Russian, American, and Turkish involvement). So, there was no need to add more to it.
American control over oil and gas has been a fact for more than a decade. In essence, nothing new—just some cosmetic adjustments.
At most, the gas pipeline from Arab countries, previously blocked in Syria, might be activated.
The historical fact is
that this marks the execution of the last social-national and secular government, as well as religiously tolerant, which was a historical product of European environments (from Vichy to National Socialism).
Symbolically, it represents the final seal on the appendix of World War II in the region: a seventy-year war during which Marxists first, and later Islamists, acted to overthrow or assassinate leaders who challenged oil companies, Israel, and the United States: Nasser, Arafat, Saddam, and even ideologically “hybrid” figures like Gaddafi.
What has now become glaringly public
is the utter inconsistency of the narrative that opposes virtuous nations to an alleged “axis of evil,” a concept fabricated by chancelleries (all of them, without exception), swallowed by public opinion, and fanatically embraced by opposing fools.
It is hard to find a better scenario than the Syrian collapse to realize how everything is interconnected and ambiguous to the point of madness. The Russo-American relations are evident and shameless, but we have been used to this for over a century—even though, incredibly, some people still don’t get it.
What stands out in Syria, however, are the so-called “multi-alignments” often discussed by the Indians (not the villains of Western films but those of Modi’s emerging power).
In a game with many players (Turks, Kurds, Israelis, Lebanese, Iranians, Russians, Americans, British, and an endless series of mutually antagonistic Islamic rebels) operating just a few kilometers apart, allied forces on one side were bombing each other on the other, endlessly. Not to mention the constant shifts in alliances.
The sudden unanimity for a regime change was astonishing
From the Iranians turning a blind eye to the Syrian army not even putting up a fight, all while Russia prepared to cooperate with the insurgents and secure its base in Tartus—it was truly embarrassing.
It’s almost comical that in the West, the new government has been labeled “moderate jihadist” and presented as an offshoot of Al-Qaeda with whom Americans are ready to collaborate. But weren’t they the ones who brought down the Twin Towers?
The political reality
lies in the sum of all this: we are in the midst of a reset with “multi-alignments” of armed factions waving state but also private flags—bands that respond to intertwined mafia-like agreements between opposing “villains” who never fight each other directly but wear down and then discard their “proteges” after contributing to their weakening and ensuring the conditions for prolonged exploitation of their territories, as in Syria and Ukraine.
The lesson of Syria’s collapse should be this:
abandon every ridiculous scheme of “antagonism,” binary opposition, or belief in global blocs, and adopt the revolutionary coldness necessary to create something constructive amidst the chaos. Do not believe that one faction is better than another, nor that they do not all engage in collective mafia-like behavior.
A capital-communist mafia with Old Testament spirituality and a criminal mentality.
There is no alternative unless it is built autonomously, but above all, it does not exist if you look for it among any of the actors involved in this imperialist disgrace they all animate together.
Anyone cheering for one bandit is cheering for all the bandits and acting against themselves, against intelligence, and against their own history.